Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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365 FXUS62 KTBW 281319 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 919 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 915 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 Southwesterly flow, just like previous mornings, is leading to scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms moving on shore generally from Tampa Bay northward. The morning sounding shows moisture has increased across the region with PWs of 2.17 inch. Best chances for rain this morning will continue across northern counties. But this afternoon, as the sea breeze moves inland, rain and storm chances will expand in coverage away from the coast. Afternoon highs the next few days will top out in the lower to mid 90s, but heat index values will reach into the 100-105 range. Be sure to stay hydrated and take proper precautions if you`re out in the sun this weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 724 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024 Light southwesterly flow for the area through tonight. Winds will increase slightly this afternoon, remaining below 10 knots. Coastal shower and storm activity this morning will move inland later this morning and afternoon. VFR conditions are expected with MVFR to IFR conditions possible in storms with decreased visibility and lower cigs. Light and variable winds overnight, turning southeast Saturday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 92 79 94 79 / 60 30 60 40 FMY 93 77 94 77 / 50 20 70 30 GIF 94 76 94 76 / 70 30 70 30 SRQ 92 78 95 77 / 50 20 60 40 BKV 93 75 94 75 / 60 30 60 40 SPG 91 81 92 80 / 60 30 60 50 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION...ADavis DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Flannery