Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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830 FXUS62 KTBW 301735 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 135 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 134 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Widespread convection is ongoing across SWFL, with the expectation that more development will happen within the next hour or so farther to the north around the Tampa Bay Area. All terminals will have the potential for MVFR to even IFR conditions and gusty winds briefly over the next few hours. The highest confidence is for SWFL terminals, and the lowest confidence is for KLAL. Activity should wind down within a couple hours of sunset, with a quiet night expected thereafter. Slightly drier air tomorrow looks to limit overall convective potential, with probs too low for mention at any terminal for this TAF cycle. SWFL terminals may see a window late tomorrow afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 77 92 78 93 / 60 30 30 60 FMY 75 91 77 92 / 40 50 30 70 GIF 74 93 76 94 / 40 50 20 70 SRQ 75 91 77 93 / 60 20 30 60 BKV 73 93 74 94 / 60 30 30 70 SPG 79 91 81 93 / 60 20 30 60 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 2 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 2 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ Flannery