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FLUS44 KTSA 292200
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Early this evening.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Early this evening.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

    AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Much of eastern Oklahoma and west
     central Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...
Dangerously hot and humid conditions have developed this afternoon
and will continue into the evening across much of eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas. Heat indices across much of the area have
increased into the 105 to 115 degree range.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop across
southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma this evening, ahead of a
frontal boundary that will sag southward into the region. These
thunderstorms are expected to move east-southeast, and will likely
affect portions of northwestern Arkansas by late this evening. A few
storms could produce damaging downburst winds, large hail, and heavy
rainfall during the evening hours.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
TUESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential...
Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Storm chances expand across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
Sunday as a frontal boundary moves southward through the region.
There is a limited risk of severe weather, especially during the
afternoon and evening over portions of eastern Oklahoma and
northwestern Arkansas.

For the first half of next week, hot and humid conditions will quickly
return with dangerous heat potential. Thunderstorm chances increase
again just in time for the Independence Day holiday and will persist
into next weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

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