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FNAK79 PAFG 210153
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 195 Starvation...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
553 PM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 AKDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A thermal low pressure trough will move farther
south of the fire on Friday and Saturday. The thermal trough will
serve as the focus for instability and convective showers, with
the focus of convection shifting southwest over the next several
days. This trough will cause winds to turn northeastward over the
fire tonight and remain northeast Friday through the weekend.

Will see a drying and warming trend from Friday into the weekend.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 8 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 14 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 16 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 9 AM.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 13 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 13 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 14 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds around 11 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around 7 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. North winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...CHAMBERS
Requested by...Risa Frazier
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416468.0/AFG
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0