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Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
475 FNUS28 KWNS 132154 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0452 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Valid 151200Z - 211200Z Broad cyclonic mid-level flow will persist over the northwestern quadrant of the CONUS through late next week as an upper ridge dominates the central and eastern CONUS. Several days of wildfire-spread potential are evident over the Interior West as multiple mid-level troughs pivot around the broad cyclonic flow aloft. The first in a series of mid-level troughs will overspread the Pacific Northwest on Day 3 (Saturday), with dry and windy conditions overspreading drying fuels to the lee of the Cascades, and farther south across southern portions of the Great Basin. By Days 4-5 (Sunday and Monday), a broader and more amplified mid-level trough will traverse the Interior West, supporting dry and windy conditions atop receptive fuels from portions of the California Valley area, to the Great Basin and Desert Southwest. The best chance for Critically dry and windy conditions atop receptive fuels will be over southern Utah into much of northern and central Arizona and far western New Mexico, where 70 percent Critical probabilities have been added. Thereafter, the mid-level trough will depart the region. Dry conditions will persist, but questions remain regarding the strength of the surface wind field, precluding the addition of Critical probabilities for Days 6-8 (Tuesday-Thursday). ..Squitieri.. 06/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$