Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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040
FNUS53 KDTX 221924
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
324 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry on Monday, but mostly cloudy skies persist with
another round of showers expected on Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-230815-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
324 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers until
                    2 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    5 am. Scattered showers after 2 am until
                    5 am. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming north in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming north in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2940-3440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (317).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of precipitation
                    20 percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......760-960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Rain showers likely after 2 pm.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2780-3280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming east in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (240).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-230815-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
324 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until
                    2 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Scattered
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2050-2550 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (342).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Rain showers likely after 2 pm.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2940-3440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming east in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (236).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-230815-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
324 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until
                    2 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    5 am. Scattered showers after 2 am until
                    5 am. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 5 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and early morning, then becoming
                    northwest after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and early morning, then becoming
                    north after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (13).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2620-3120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (345).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1980-2480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (188).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

SF