Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
534 FNUS73 KDTX 311918 FWSDTX Spot Forecast for Tobico Trail Loop...MIDNR National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 318 PM EDT Fri May 31 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on June 01. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...High pressure ensures dry and warming conditions today and most of Saturday, with minimum RH values around 30 percent and light southern flow across all of southeast Michigan. Rain then moves in Saturday evening and continues through Sunday morning as a pair of disturbances track into the lower Michigan. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers late in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........40 percent. Eye level winds.....South winds 8 to 10 mph. Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 18 mph. Haines Index........5 to 6 OR moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Excellent (MAX...637). TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........62 65 69 74 78 82 86 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW TEMP............69 72 73 73 73 72 72 RH..............47 41 40 40 41 43 45 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.8 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 14 17 17 16 14 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.4 4.0 4.6 4.6 4.9 3.4 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 5 5 5 SMOKE DISPER....310 515 598 728 695 733 436 .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Min temperature.....Around 59. Max humidity........95 percent. Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 10 mph...becoming southeast around 6 mph late in the evening, then becoming south overnight...becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph overnight. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph. Haines Index........3 to 5 OR low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...39). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........89 90 86 84 85 82 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............69 64 62 60 60 59 RH..............53 71 78 90 92 94 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SE S NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.10 7 6 6 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.14 13 13 12 11 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2100 600 500 600 700 600 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 3 3 SMOKE DISPER....247 63 51 66 61 50 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent)becoming sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the morning, then slight chance of rain showers early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........60 percent. Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 5 mph...becoming south early in the morning, then becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and early afternoon...becoming east around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 10 mph...becoming east around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Fair (MAX...140). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........75 61 47 34 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE TEMP............59 64 68 69 RH..............95 81 71 63 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 5 S 5 E 5 E 6 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 10 12 MIX HGT (FT)....500 900 1800 1800 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 SMOKE DISPER....39 71 157 137 $$ Forecaster...Cromwell Requested by...Nate Stearns Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2415419.0/DTX .DELDT 05/31/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL stearnsn@michigan.gov