Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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959
FNUS22 KWNS 271741
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1241 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The previous forecast remains on track. Elevated to critical fire
weather conditions remain likely across central to southern WY, but
recent ERC analyses continue to suggest that fuels are near seasonal
averages for most locations. Additional rain chances over the next
12-18 hours further limits confidence in fuel status by peak heating
Friday. While highlights are withheld for this update, precipitation
and fuel trends will be monitored. See the previous discussion below
for further details.

..Moore.. 06/27/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0136 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024/

...Synopsis...
An upper-level trough initially within the northern Rockies will
eject into the northern/central Plains on Friday. At the surface, a
cold front will move into the upper Midwest and push southward into
parts of the southern Plains before stalling.

...Central/Southern Wyoming...
Strong winds due to the favorable position of the mid-level jet as
well as the strong pressure gradient behind the front will promote
15-25 mph winds across the area. RH could fall to 15-20% with
perhaps localized 10-15% values by the afternoon. Fuel information
and recent fire activity would suggest southeastern Wyoming and
nearby vicinity have the driest fuels. Precipitation that occurred
Wednesday afternoon/evening along with potential precipitation on
Thursday increases uncertainty in how dry fuels will be on Friday.
In southwest/south-central Wyoming, fuels are sparse and present
fuels do not appear overly dry based on current data. Furthermore,
this area could also see some precipitation on Thursday. As impacts
of precipitation on fuels become more clear, elevated highlights
could be added for southeastern Wyoming.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$