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Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
959 FNUS22 KWNS 271741 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1241 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains on track. Elevated to critical fire weather conditions remain likely across central to southern WY, but recent ERC analyses continue to suggest that fuels are near seasonal averages for most locations. Additional rain chances over the next 12-18 hours further limits confidence in fuel status by peak heating Friday. While highlights are withheld for this update, precipitation and fuel trends will be monitored. See the previous discussion below for further details. ..Moore.. 06/27/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0136 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024/ ...Synopsis... An upper-level trough initially within the northern Rockies will eject into the northern/central Plains on Friday. At the surface, a cold front will move into the upper Midwest and push southward into parts of the southern Plains before stalling. ...Central/Southern Wyoming... Strong winds due to the favorable position of the mid-level jet as well as the strong pressure gradient behind the front will promote 15-25 mph winds across the area. RH could fall to 15-20% with perhaps localized 10-15% values by the afternoon. Fuel information and recent fire activity would suggest southeastern Wyoming and nearby vicinity have the driest fuels. Precipitation that occurred Wednesday afternoon/evening along with potential precipitation on Thursday increases uncertainty in how dry fuels will be on Friday. In southwest/south-central Wyoming, fuels are sparse and present fuels do not appear overly dry based on current data. Furthermore, this area could also see some precipitation on Thursday. As impacts of precipitation on fuels become more clear, elevated highlights could be added for southeastern Wyoming. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$