Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
359
FNUS54 KEPZ 271206
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
606 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will continue today. The main impacts
from these storms will be heavy rainfall that could lead to flash
flooding and gusty erratic winds. The 20ft winds will be light to
breezy and the temperatures above the normal. Showers and
thunderstorms will continue at least through midnight. Tonight
recovery will be good to excellent. For Friday, some moisture will
be in place; however, the chances for showers and thunderstorms
will decrease. The 20ft winds will continue to be light to breezy
with the temperatures above the average. For the rest of the
period, active weather conditions will persist with breezy winds
and at and above normal temperatures. With that said, there will
be no fire weather concerns throughout the period.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-271830-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
606 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 1200,
then partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Numerous
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (65200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-61.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....26-30 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (111400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 89 to 94. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
63 to 68. Highs 84 to 89. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 62 to 67. Highs 81 to 86. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-271830-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
606 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....97-101.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL increasing to 9500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-74.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........18-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (131000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 105.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. East
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows near 70. Highs 93 to 98. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-271830-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
606 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....95-100.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (79000 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 105. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99. South winds around
10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-271830-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
606 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Numerous
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....87-92.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....37-42 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6600-8500 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-60.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....80-85 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....79-84.
* Below 7500 ft....89-94.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....33-38 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....23-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (121000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 88 to 93. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 82 to 87. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 84 to 89. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-271830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
606 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-102.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........22-26 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Fair (54300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....75-79.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........55-60 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....100-104.
* Min humidity........19-21 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 80. Highs 103 to 107. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 98 to 102. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid to upper 70s. Highs 97 to 101. South winds around
10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-271830-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
606 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms after
1200.
* Max temperature.....96-101.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (86400 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
showers and thunderstorms in the evening,
then isolated showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....72-76.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........59-64 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3.
* Haines index........3.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (70800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 99 to 104. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99. South winds around
10 mph.
$$