Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
241
FNUS54 KEPZ 131921
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 13 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Besides a few isolated storms this afternoon and Friday, dry and
continued hot will be the story. West winds will increase later in
the day Friday across SW NM. Expect a few hours of critical or
near critical conditions over the Gila during this time. West to
southwest winds will continue for the weekend into early next
week which will keep temperatures around 100 to 105 with RH`s in
the single digits for the lowlands. Winds will pick up once again
toward critical speeds Monday and Tuesday and combine with these
low RH`s.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-141245-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 13 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....55-60.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 0300, then 2.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-85.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....12-14 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....9-13 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. Northwest winds around 10 mph
increasing to southwest around 20 mph in the
afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 24 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................2.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 25 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (332600 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-56.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Breezy. West winds around 20 mph becoming
north around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-86.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-11 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 13700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (132800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 88 to 93. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 54 to 59. Highs 83 to 88. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-141245-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 13 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph increasing to
southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (225700 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* Max humidity........22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph becoming northwest
around 5 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-101.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (181000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 98 to 103. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 93 to 98. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-141245-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 13 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-73.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........33-38 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........10-14 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL increasing to 14900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (179600 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* Max humidity........45-50 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........8-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (171000 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 65 to 70. Highs 99 to 104. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 97 to 102. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 94 to 99. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-141245-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 13 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....50-55 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....44-49 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....21-25 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......11400-13100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (156800 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 22 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....78-83.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....17-21 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....14-18 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (120200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 89 to 94. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 86 to 91. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-141245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 13 2024
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....73-78.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........37-42 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....102-106.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 16100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (159500 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....70-74.
* Max humidity........44-49 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
northeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....100-104.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 14100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (210900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 102 to 106.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 100 to 104.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 102. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-141245-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 13 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....70-74.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........47-52 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........12-14 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL increasing to 14300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (126800 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........10-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 15700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (216400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 101 to 106. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows near 70. Highs 98 to 103. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs 96 to
101. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
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