671
FXUS62 KFFC 271849
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
249 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...Morning Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

The main line of thunderstorms has moved out of the area, leaving a
boundary stretching from Heard County over through Bibb County. A
couple storms continue to move along this boundary, occasionally
spinning up as they ingests vorticity and MUCAPE of around 2000
J/Kg. This storm is likely to remain at or near severe levels
through the next few hours.

A few storms are possible north of the boundary this afternoon as
the larger mid level trough and sfc cold front pushed through. These
storms will be isolated in nature although a storm becoming strong
cannot be ruled out. Storms along and south of the boundary will be
more scattered in nature. These southern storms also have a greater
potential to become strong to even severe given the atmosphere has
not quite been worked over just yet.

With current cloud coverage, temperatures continue to
most models. CAMs overall struggled with this system, however the
HRRR seems to be doing the best of all of them.

The good news is that once this system moves through, conditions
clear and dry out. Winds will be light but noticeable tomorrow and
highs will reach back into the mid-80s.


SM

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

With active weather ongoing across portions of the forecast area,
only minor adjustments have been made to the extended forecast based
on the latest guidance. The previous discussion follows...

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 328 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

The extended forecast starts off dry as high
pressure slowly builds in from the northern plains and western
great lake states. With this ridge and drier airmass will come
slightly cooler temps for the middle to the end of the week. Temps
Wed through Fri will see highs mainly in the lower to middle 80s.
Moisture begins to creep back in for the weekend and could see
precip chances move back in for Sat/Sun.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 155 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

VFR to MVFR for the metro area. Convection continues from CSG to
MCN, requiring tempo for IFR to LIFR conditions in heavier
rainfall. Tempo for metro this afternoon for possible isolated
tsra. Winds could be gusty in convection. Winds calm overnight
out of SW turning to NW tomorrow morning. VFR conditions tonight
through tomorrow.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium Low convection in Metro this afternoon.
High all other elements.

SM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          82  66  86  61 /  50  20   0   0
Atlanta         84  68  86  65 /  50  20   0   0
Blairsville     78  59  77  54 /  80  10   0   0
Cartersville    83  64  84  59 /  60  10   0   0
Columbus        87  69  90  66 /  70  40   0   0
Gainesville     80  65  83  61 /  60  10   0   0
Macon           87  68  89  63 /  60  30   0   0
Rome            85  65  85  60 /  60  10   0   0
Peachtree City  84  66  86  62 /  50  20   0   0
Vidalia         90  72  90  67 /  50  60  10   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...SM