952
FNUS75 KGJT 161235
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Mill Creek...USFA
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
635 AM MDT Mon Sep 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on September 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...On and off showers and a few storms are expected
today and tonight. Diurnal winds could change based on showers
and storms in the area. Wind gusts of 30-40 mph are possible
with the stronger cells. Same conditions are expected tomorrow.
Up to an inch of rainfall is possible by the end of this system.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
                    through the day. Thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................80 percent.
Max temperature.....58-63.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 5-10 mph shifting to southeast in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25000-26000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low.
LAL.................4 until 1200, then 5.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Thunderstorms
                    likely in the evening. Rain showers likely
                    through the night. Chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
CWR.................60 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8000-16000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low.
LAL.................5 until 2100, then 4.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 mph.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers in
                    the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through
                    the day. Chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................70 percent.
Max temperature.....56-61.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8-12 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................3 until 0900, then 4.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Kris Sanders
Requested by...Corey Wilson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422336.2/GJT
.DELDT 09/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.austin@usda.gov,corey.p.wilson@usda.gov,fred.ellis@usda.gov.,gregory.becker@usda.gov