Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
577
FNUS52 KILM 221849
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will shift offshore mid week bringing warmer
temperatures and moister conditions and some rain chances later
in the week and into early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-231100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 40
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 1 2 3
Min/Max Temp 63 89 67 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 51 96 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 6 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 5 3 3
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78000
ADI Early 36 Fair 48 Gen Good 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 69 Good 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 4
Max LVORI Late 9 1 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-231100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30 50
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3 3
Min/Max Temp 64 90 68 89
Max/Min RH (%) 98 48 96 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.05
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 78400
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 87 Good 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 3
Max LVORI Late 9 1 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-231100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 30
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 1 2 3
Min/Max Temp 63 89 67 89
Max/Min RH (%) 99 49 96 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68400
ADI Early 38 Fair 46 Gen Good 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 67 Good 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 3
Max LVORI Late 9 1 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
249 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 40
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3 3
Min/Max Temp 62 90 67 90
Max/Min RH (%) 96 48 97 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 N/A
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74100
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 84 Good 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 9 3
Max LVORI Late 9 1 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$