Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
723
FNUS54 KMEG 231003
FWFMEG
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
503 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Wetting rain chances will increase as a cold front slowly
traverse the Mid-South tonight through Wednesday. Cooler than
normal temperatures and chances for wetting rain will persist
Wednesday through next weekend as an upper level low pressure
system remains overhead.
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-232145-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
503 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 70 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.38 0.40 0.04
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 6 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 87 (-4) 67 (-3) 80
RH % (24h trend) 61 (+8) 100 (+1) 68
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var W 3-7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 2-6 Lgt/Var W 4-8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3800 3900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1200 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4100 4200
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 W 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 W 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 7200 6500
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 85 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 5 SW 3
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 7
Dispersion Index 32 8 34
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 3 3
Stability Class C E C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 89 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 88 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 84 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
60. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 83 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-232145-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
503 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 60 60
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.05
Precip Duration (hrs) 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 90 (-1) 67 (-3) 82
RH % (24h trend) 52 (+3) 100 (+3) 65
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 2-6 Lgt/Var W 2-6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5300 4500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1700 1400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5500 4700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 6 W 5
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 14 W 12
Vent Index (m2/s) 10200 7000
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 86 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 6 SW 4
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 9
Dispersion Index 37 8 31
LAL 2 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 4 3
Stability Class C F B
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s.
Minimum RH 89 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-232145-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
503 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 70 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.12 0.26 0.16
Precip Duration (hrs) 2 5 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 89 (-2) 67 (-1) 81
RH % (24h trend) 59 (+9) 100 (0) 70
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 3-7
PM Wind 20ft (mph) W 2-6 Lgt/Var W 4-8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1300 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4400 3700
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1500 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4800 4100
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 W 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 W 14
Vent Index (m2/s) 7500 7200
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 85 77
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 4 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 12
Dispersion Index 28 10 36
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 3 3
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 90 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 81 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-232145-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
503 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 60 70
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.02 0.10 0.13
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2 6
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 89 (-1) 68 (-2) 81
RH % (24h trend) 56 (+5) 100 (0) 72
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var SW 2-6
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 2-6 Lgt/Var W 4-8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1400 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4700 3400
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1600 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5100 3800
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 W 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 W 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 8000 7200
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 86 78
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 4 SW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 13
Dispersion Index 32 9 33
LAL 3 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 4 3
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 2
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Patchy fog. A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy.
Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 90 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum RH 87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-232145-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
503 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 40 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.12
Precip Duration (hrs) 1 2
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 91 (-1) 69 (-1) 84
RH % (24h trend) 51 (+2) 100 (+5) 65
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 2-6 Lgt/Var W 2-6
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1600 1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5200 4100
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1600 1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5400 4300
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 5 W 6
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 W 13
Vent Index (m2/s) 8000 7800
Category Day 4 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 86 81
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 4 SW 5
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 10
Dispersion Index 28 8 31
LAL 1 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 4 3
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Patchy fog. A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy.
Lows in the mid 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 87 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
77 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
76 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-232145-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
503 AM CDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 10 60
Precip Type None None Tstms
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.12
Precip Duration (hrs) 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Temp (24h trend) 91 (0) 69 (0) 88
RH % (24h trend) 49 (+1) 99 (+1) 63
AM Wind 20ft (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
PM Wind 20ft (mph) SW 2-6 Lgt/Var SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1500 1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4800 3300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1600 1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 5200 3700
Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 4 SW 7
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 8 SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s) 6400 7700
Category Day 3 3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 85 83
500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 2 SW 6
500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 5 SW 14
Dispersion Index 21 7 40
LAL 1 3 3
LASI/Haines Index 4 4 3
Stability Class C F C
Stagnation Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Patchy fog. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 86 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 85 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
71 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
AC3