Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
936 FNUS75 KPSR 221505 FWSPSR Spot Forecast for Ghost...DFFM National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 805 AM MST Sat Jun 22 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 MST on June 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... The increasing moisture across the region will lead to increased thunderstorm chances (~30%) later this afternoon and early evening. However, there is a high deal of uncertainty in the overall storm development and coverage given the abundant cloud cover currently in place. Nevertheless, even if storms do not directly impact the area, gusty outflow winds mainly from the east or northeast could be an issue with around a 50% chance of gusts exceeding 35 mph. If storms do impact the area, they will be capable of producing high rain rates, in excess of 1"/hr, which could lead to flash flooding as well as pose a lightning risk. The storm threat will exist into Sunday as well with the same level of uncertainty in terms of overall development and coverage. Outside of the storms, winds will follow the typical diurnal tendencies with speeds generally remaining under 15 mph. With the increased moisture levels, MinRH values will remain above 20% with good overnight recovery. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. CWR.................18 percent. Max temperature.....Around 101. Min humidity........25-30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds this morning becoming south-southwest 6-11 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................15 percent. Min temperature.....Around 83. Max humidity........50-55 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................5 percent. Max temperature.....Around 103. Min humidity........24-29 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to 11 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. $$ Forecaster...GL Requested by...IC Perrone Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416498.1/PSR .DELDT 06/22/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL AIDCLOGISTICS@DFFM.AZ.GOV