404
FXUS65 KREV 280808
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
108 AM PDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

* Very warm and dry weather with periods of breezy winds expected
  through the weekend. Elevated fire weather conditions possible
  each afternoon this weekend.

* A slight chance of afternoon showers and storms from northeast
  California into northern Washoe County on Sunday. Moderate heat
  health impacts are likely next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The weather today and over the weekend will continue to be hot and
dry with highs in the 80s and 90s for Sierra communities and western
Nevada valleys, respectively. Brief periods of elevated to locally
critical fire weather conditions and choppy lake waters are possible
Saturday and Sunday afternoon as winds increase to 15-20 mph with
gusts up to 30 mph. A slight chance (10-15%) of afternoon showers
and thunderstorms exists Sunday afternoon for portions of Lassen and
N Washoe County.

A steady warming trend remains favored for the week of July 4th as
ensembles advertise an amplified ridge overhead, yielding well above
normal temperatures for midweek and beyond. Blended guidance lends a
30-50% chance of reaching 100F Wednesday afternoon for lowest
western Nevada valley locales, including Reno and Fallon. From
Wednesday onward, daytime highs plateau in the upper 80s to low 90s
for the Sierra and upper 90s to 104F for western Nevada valleys into
the weekend. Be sure to review your heat safety precautions in
preparation for next weeks summer heat, especially if your
Independence Day plans take you outdoors!

Synoptic scale subsidence within a dry, northwest flow regime will
largely prevent convection next week, although a few showers and
thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday afternoon from the Tahoe
Basin southward where a deformation zone couples with intense
differential heating.

-Salas

&&

.AVIATION...

Widespread VFR conditions will prevail through the weekend with
typical afternoon breezes, strongest Saturday and Sunday afternoon.
Periods of mountain wave turbulence and LLWS may exist this weekend
as FL100 winds increase to 20-25 kts.

-Salas

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$