453
FXUS62 KTBW 271317
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
917 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 915 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Interaction between high pressure ridging westward through the
Florida Strait and troughing over the southeast U.S. is continuing
to produce a west-southwest onshore flow across west central and
southwest Florida. Latest visible satellite imagery and surface
observations are showing partly cloudy skies across the region with
temps already in the mid 80`s. Latest radar imagery is showing
scattered showers and isolated storms streaming in from the gulf
across the coastal counties. This trend will continue through the
afternoon spreading farther inland through the day. Current forecast
looks good with no changes needed at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 915 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

VFR conditions will prevail outside of thunderstorms. West-southwest
winds around 5-10 knots will persist through the day. Will hold VCTS
to cover thunderstorms today through 18Z for TPA/PIE/SRQ and 22Z for
LAL/PGD/FMY/RSW. Storms move farther inland after 22Z with rain-free
conditions and light winds 5 knots or less expected overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 915 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

High pressure ridging west through the Florida Strait and into the
central Gulf of Mexico will maintain a west-southwest onshore flow
heading into the weekend. Over the weekend, wind directions may
become more variable as the high pressure ridge begins to shift
slightly northward. This should be relatively brief, though, as the
onshore flow is set to resume early next week. Winds will be light,
not exceeding 10 knots with wave heights 2 feet or less throughout
the period. As usual, some scattered showers and storms can be
expected daily through the next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  80  91  80 /  50  40  60  30
FMY  91  78  93  78 /  40  20  60  20
GIF  93  76  94  76 /  60  30  70  20
SRQ  91  79  92  78 /  50  30  50  30
BKV  91  75  93  75 /  50  50  70  20
SPG  89  81  90  81 /  50  40  60  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 5

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...ADavis