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FNAK79 PAFG 202043
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Spot Forecast for Ivy Creek #156...DOF
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1243 PM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 AKDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A shortwave trough aloft will bring numerous showers and widely
scattered thunderstorms to the area this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms
will come from the east and rainfall may be briefly heavy in showers and
thunderstorms. Friday will be nearly a repeat of today before high pressure
moves over the area on Friday night. Winds will be mainly out of the north
through early next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds. Mostly clear becoming mostly cloudy
(70-80 percent). Numerous showers and widely scattered
thunderstorms.
CWR.................48 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......North winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 13 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Already burned off.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and widely scattered thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................48 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 10 mph diminishing to 4 to 5 mph overnight.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the
evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight AKDT.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers through the day. Widely scattered thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................39 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light and variable winds becoming northwest around 5 mph
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 9 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds around
5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...CHRIEST
Requested by...Jeff Ennenga
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416417.1/AFG
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0