013
FNUS22 KWNS 161943
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0242 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
UTAH...NORTHERN ARIZONA...WESTERN NEW MEXICO...AND FAR SOUTHWEST
COLORADO...

The Elevated risk area in central California has been expanded
southward to cover most of the San Joaquin Valley along with
adjacent areas of the western Transverse Ranges and the southern
Sierra Nevada. Fuels in the area have rapidly dried. Additionally,
the ongoing Post Fire has been displaying rapid growth in the
presence of strong winds (gusts of 40-50 mph with higher gusts in
mountain gaps) despite somewhat marginal RH for the area (15-25%
minimums). All of this highlights the potential for further fire
activity in the region. Otherwise, the Critical area has been
expanded in southern Utah and northern Arizona with better
confidence in Critical fire weather conditions overlapping areas of
dry fuels. See the previous discussion for further details.

..Supinie.. 06/16/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0155 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024/

...Synopsis...
A secondary shortwave will rotate through the western US trough on
Monday, bringing continued strong southwesterly flow across much of
the desert southwest into the southern High Plains.

Across northeastern Arizona, southeastern Utah, and portions of
western New Mexico, afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15
percent will overlap sustained winds around 20 mph. Fuels in this
region are critically dry, supporting maintaining a Critical
delineation across these regions on Monday. Broader Elevated fire
weather concerns are expected across much of Arizona into
southern/central Utah, eastern Nevada, and into western New Mexico
and southern Colorado.

Elevated fire weather concerns are also expected as strong
northwesterly flow at 10-15 mph on the backside of the trough
overlaps relative humidity reductions to 15-20 percent (locally
around 10 percent) within the Sacramento Valley and San Joaquin
Valley in northern/central California. Fuels within this region are
sufficiently dry to support Elevated fire weather concerns.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$