Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
293 FNUS74 KEPZ 271129 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Rocky...GILA NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 529 AM MDT Thu Jun 27 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MDT on June 27. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Increased moisture levels will keep rain and thunderstorms in the forecast for several days to come. Temperatures will remain above normal, but should not be as hot as the recent few days. Min RH values will stay well above critical levels, and winds outside of storm winds, should generally stay light. Vent rates will vary with the time of day ranging from poor in the morning to good during the afternoons. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North around 8 mph shifting to the northwest around 6 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then shifting to the north around 10 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (46200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........74 68 53 53 67 Weather cov.....NONE NONE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 40 80 80 LAL.............1 1 3 4 4 Temp............73 81 84 87 89 RH..............61 51 39 34 33 20 ft wind......N 1 NW 3 SW 4 SW 4 E 5 20 ft wind gust. 5 8 8 8 Mix hgt (ft)....2300 7400 7400 6700 6700 Transport wind..N 8 NW 6 NW 6 N 10 N 10 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..16 38 38 46 46 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 2400, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 63. Max humidity........75 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 7 to 8 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5900 knot-ft). Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........64 64 51 35 35 38 Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NONE NONE NONE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 30 10 10 0 LAL.............4 4 3 1 1 1 Temp............88 78 73 69 66 64 RH..............38 48 60 63 67 73 20 ft wind......NW 3 NW 3 N 2 NE 2 NE 2 N 1 20 ft wind gust.8 8 3 3 3 Mix hgt (ft)....2900 2900 1200 1200 1200 1200 Transport wind..N 8 N 8 N 7 N 7 N 7 N 7 Haines index....2 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..29 29 6 6 8 8 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........25 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22400 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (77500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........49 34 26 45 Weather cov.....NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 30 30 LAL.............1 1 4 4 Temp............63 77 86 92 RH..............72 53 32 25 20 FT wind......N 1G3 NW 3G7 W 5G9 W 7G9 Mix hgt (ft)....2500 2500 8900 9100 Transport wind..N 10 N 10 NW 9 W 10 Haines index....3 3 3 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..22 22 70 78 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Light winds. .SUNDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds around 6 mph. .MONDAY... Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. $$ Forecaster...HEFNER Requested by...Silver City Dispatch Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416779.0/EPZ .DELDT 06/27/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov