Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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095 FXUS65 KFGZ 280506 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 1006 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Showers and thunderstorms will continue, mostly north of the Mogollon Rim this evening and end around midnight. Activity decreases for Friday and Saturday with only isolated storms. Moisture, showers, and thunderstorms chances increase again from Sunday into next week. && .DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms continue to move east this evening in eastern Coconino County and Apache and Navajo counties mostly north of Interstate 40. This activity will continue to push eastward and decrease into the early morning hours. Current forecast has this trend handled well and no updates needed. && .AVIATION...Friday 28/06Z through Saturday 29/06Z...Isolated showers and thunderstorms lingering through 12Z from KSOW to the Four Corners. Isolated showers and thunderstorms then redevelop after 18Z along and north of a KGCN-KINW-KSOW line. Erratic winds to 40 kts possible in and around showers/storms. Otherwise, light winds overnight becoming southwest at 5-15 kts gusting to 20 kts Friday afternoon. Winds diminishing Friday evening. OUTLOOK...Saturday 29/06Z through Monday 01/06Z...Isolated showers and thunderstorms on Saturday will become more widespread on Sunday. Erratic winds to 40 kts possible in and around showers/storms. Otherwise, afternoon southwest winds 5-15 kts gusting to 20 kts with light winds at night. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today through Saturday...Scattered showers and storms along and north of the Mogollon Rim this afternoon, with heavy rain, hail, and gusty winds possible in the stronger storms. Expect a drying trend Friday and Saturday with a few isolated storms possible. Warm temperatures with breezy southwest winds 10-20 mph each day. Sunday through Tuesday...Moisture and thunderstorm chances begin to increase from Sunday into next week. Warm temperatures with southwest winds 10-15 mph each day. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...MAS/MCT AVIATION...McCollum FIRE WEATHER...McCollum For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff