Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
849 FNUS52 KILM 241930 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 330 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 .DISCUSSION... Showers and storms with isolated severe wind gusts are possible through this evening ahead of a cold front. This boundary will stall at the coast tonight before lifting back to the north through the midweek lowering rain prospects and continuing the heat. Widespread showers and storms expected Thursday with another front and upper level disturbance. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-251130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 330 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 60 20 0 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms LAL 4 2 2 2 Min/Max Temp 70 92 69 95 Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 100 45 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G17 E 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 4 SE 7 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.21 0.03 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 4 1 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM 8 AM Precip End 5 AM 6 PM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/0700 2100 78/0900 Dispersion Fair Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5800 Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 77000 69600 ADI Early 32 Fair 45 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 54 Gen Good ADI Late 8 Poor 71 Good 4 Very Poor 71 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability E B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-251130- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 330 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 40 20 0 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms LAL 3 2 1 2 Min/Max Temp 70 95 70 98 Max/Min RH (%) 100 39 99 42 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 0 0 Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM 2 PM Precip End 1 AM 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0700 2000 80/0900 Dispersion Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 4 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7400 7700 Transport Wind (mph) E 10 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74000 77000 ADI Early 44 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 63 Good 50 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 81 Good 5 Very Poor 87 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-251130- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 330 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 50 30 20 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 71 93 71 95 Max/Min RH (%) 100 50 100 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 7 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.20 0.05 0.02 0.00 Precip Duration 2 1 1 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM Continuing 8 AM Precip End 5 AM Continuing 2 AM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2100 80/0900 Dispersion Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6900 Transport Wind (mph) E 12 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68400 82800 ADI Early 40 Fair 39 Fair 43 Gen Good 48 Gen Good ADI Late 7 Poor 59 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 69 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 1 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability E A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-251130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 330 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 40 20 0 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms LAL 3 3 2 3 Min/Max Temp 71 95 71 97 Max/Min RH (%) 100 38 100 43 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 1 0 0 Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM 2 PM Precip End 2 AM 6 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0800 2100 79/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 4 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7800 7800 Transport Wind (mph) E 9 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 70200 78000 ADI Early 67 Good 40 Fair 66 Good 43 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 72 Good 5 Very Poor 91 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 8 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Light winds. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...LEW