Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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569 FXUS64 KTSA 261946 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 246 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Through tonight ) Issued at 220 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Some additional showers and thunderstorms will be possible tonight across far southeast Oklahoma, so elected to keep some mentionable PoPs for those counties. Lows tonight will be in the low 70s across the CWA, with some upper 60s in northwest Arkansas. && .LONG TERM... (Tomorrow through Wednesday) Issued at 220 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Hot and muggy conditions will persist from Thursday through Saturday afternoon. In response, have elected to post an Excessive Heat Watch for Friday in a few of our Oklahoma counties where apparent T`s are expected to surpass 110F. A low potential will exist for some isolated storms across the northern part of the CWA Thursday afternoon associated with a subtle shortwave near the OK/KS border. Have adjusted PoPs accordingly. More widespread thunderstorms will occur Saturday night through Sunday afternoon, especially across northwest Arkansas and the northern half of eastern Oklahoma. Subsidence associated with the ridge may limit thunderstorm chances across the southeast Oklahoma. For the remainder of the forecast period, hot and muggy conditions will once again dominate, and additional heat headlines will likely be needed by early next week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1204 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 VFR conditions are expected to prevail through much of the forecast period as morning MCS has stabilized the local region. Light winds and recent rainfall may allow for patchy fog overnight but enough uncertainty remains to allow later forecasts to adjust as needed. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 73 94 78 100 / 0 20 0 0 FSM 74 94 75 99 / 10 0 0 0 MLC 73 94 76 98 / 10 0 0 0 BVO 68 92 74 101 / 0 10 20 0 FYV 67 92 71 96 / 0 10 0 0 BYV 67 90 69 95 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 72 92 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 68 91 74 97 / 0 0 20 10 F10 71 92 75 98 / 0 10 0 0 HHW 74 92 74 96 / 20 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ054-059-064-065. Excessive Heat Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening for OKZ055-056-060>062-066-067-070. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...70 LONG TERM....70 AVIATION...07