Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
773
FNUS52 KILM 240804
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
404 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure north of the area weakens today as southerly winds
bring increasing humidity. More unsettled weather should return
late week as we see at least some fringe effects from low pressure
tracking northward from the Gulf of Mexico.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-250015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
404 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 83 68 86
Min/Max RH (%) 70 100 69
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 10 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 4100
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39600 49200
ADI Early 26 Fair 20 Gen Poor 40 Fair
ADI Late 29 Fair 6 Very Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 82 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-250015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
404 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 0
Precip Type Tstms Showers None
LAL 2 3 2
Max/Min Temp 84 69 86
Min/Max RH (%) 69 100 64
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.07 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 3 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 3800
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43400 49400
ADI Early 31 Fair 20 Gen Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 34 Fair 6 Very Poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 7 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-250015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
404 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Showers None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 85 69 85
Min/Max RH (%) 67 100 68
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.02 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 4100
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49400 57400
ADI Early 32 Fair 27 Fair 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 8 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-250015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
404 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 0
Precip Type Tstms Showers None
LAL 2 3 2
Max/Min Temp 87 69 86
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 1 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4100
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54600 61500
ADI Early 29 Fair 23 Fair 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 7 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21