Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 190224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190224
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-190400-
Mesoscale Discussion 1330
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0924 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Areas affected...OK and far northern TX Panhandles into northwest
OK...southwest/central/eastern KS
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 435...
Valid 190224Z - 190400Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 435
continues.
SUMMARY...Some severe wind/hail threat may persist through late
evening.
DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong storms is gradually propagating
southward across the central/eastern OK Panhandle, and this trend
may continue (with some additional backbuilding) as a strong
low-level jet remains focused across the region. While deep-layer
flow/shear decreases with southward extent, moderate to strong
buoyancy will support a continued risk of isolated hail and
strong/severe gusts, which may slowly spread into the far northern
TX Panhandle and extreme northwest OK.
Farther northeast, a couple of bowing line segments that earlier
developed over west-central KS appear to be weakening somewhat,
though some threat for isolated severe gusts and perhaps some hail
may continue beyond the 03Z expiration time of WW 435. Local watch
extension may be considered if short-term trends continue to support
maintenance of an organized severe risk.
..Dean/Edwards.. 06/19/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 36860181 38049933 38479857 39129766 39349623 38849594
37799593 36659948 36340099 36590208 36860181