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399
FXUS62 KTBW 251313
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
913 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.UPDATE...
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Issued at 911 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Slow moving showers and storms continue to fire up just off the
coast over the eastern gulf waters. With a light onshore flow, these
showers and storms will slowly move over the coastal region later
this morning and further traverse inland through the afternoon and
evening hours. Some of these slow moving showers and storms could
produce some localized flooding. It`s already really muggy out this
morning with temps and dew points in the upper 70`s to low 80`s. Max
temps today will top out in the low to mid 90`s. No changes needed
to current forecast.
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&&

.AVIATION...
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(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 911 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

VFR conditions will prevail outside of thunderstorms. Light and
variable winds expected early this morning, becoming westerly around
5-10 knots by late morning. Will hold VCTS to cover thunderstorms
today starting at 16Z for PIE/TPA, 17-19Z for LAL/SRQ and 18Z for
PGD/FMY/RSW. Storms that do develop will be slow moving. Some storms
may linger into the late evening around 04Z, then clearing up
overnight.
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&&

.MARINE...
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Issued at 911 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

A light pressure gradient remains over the eastern Gulf of Mexico
for the next few days. This is producing a light onshore flow with
winds 10 knots or less and seas less than 2 feet through the end of
the week. Daily showers and storms will be possible each day through
the period.
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&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  91  79  91  79 /  40  40  60  20
FMY  90  77  90  78 /  60  50  60  20
GIF  94  76  92  76 /  70  40  60  20
SRQ  90  78  90  79 /  50  50  60  30
BKV  92  74  91  75 /  40  30  50  20
SPG  92  82  91  82 /  40  50  60  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 1
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Shiveley