-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
127
FXUS64 KOHX 280111
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
811 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
-- Changed Discussion --
Issued at 753 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Current temperatures across the area are mid 80s, but will fall in
the 60s overnight. Tonight`s 00Z sounding displaying dry
conditions aloft. Patchy fog in the Cumberland Plateau is
expected in the early morning hours. Southerly winds set to
transport warmer conditions Friday afternoon. Most will remain
dry but some pop-up summertime thunderstorms possible tomorrow
afternoon.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Yesterday`s frontal passage has completely cleared Middle
Tennessee, but we may still see a few showers this afternoon in
areas to the southeast of Nashville. By this evening, we will be
rain-free. Temperatures today will top out in the 80s, but we`ll
heat right back up starting tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1052 AM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

A lot of the moisture that headed south with yesterday`s fropa
will drift back northward Friday and Saturday. In addition, the
next frontal boundary will approach Middle Tennessee from the
northwest this weekend. This will result in at least isolated
convection tomorrow and tomorrow night, especially along the
Cumberland Plateau, with more widespread activity developing
Saturday, Saturday night, and especially on Sunday with the
expected passage of this surface boundary. Temperatures on
Saturday will be especially hot, and a Heat Advisory may been
needed for Saturday as heat indices are expected to exceed 105F in
many areas west of the Plateau. Temperatures will back off after
Sunday`s fropa -- for a day -- but will spike upward starting on
Tuesday, with Heat Advisory criteria possibly being met next
Wednesday and Thursday. At this time, we are not outlooked for any
severe storms, although the SPC does have a marginal risk area to
our immediate north on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 546 PM CDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Southerly wind shift is expected by 12Z. Patchy fog development
in the Cumberland Plateau possible after 06Z but confidence too
low to include in the TAFs. Otherwise VFR conditions prevail.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
-- Changed Discussion --
Nashville      71  95  77  96 /   0  10  10  40
Clarksville    67  92  75  94 /   0  10  10  20
Crossville     64  88  69  86 /   0  30  50  70
Columbia       69  93  74  94 /   0  10  20  40
Cookeville     66  90  72  87 /   0  20  30  60
Jamestown      64  89  71  87 /   0  20  40  70
Lawrenceburg   69  92  74  92 /   0  10  20  40
Murfreesboro   69  95  74  94 /   0  10  20  40
Waverly        69  92  74  94 /   0  10  10  20
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......Clements/Payette
SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Clements/Payette