Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --186 FXUS64 KSHV 211958 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 258 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM...-- Changed Discussion --(This evening through Saturday Night) Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 The heat is on through the beginning of the weekend with a warming trend developing across the Four State Region. Surface ridging currently over the Mid-South will continue to gradually shift eastward across the Mississippi River into the Southern Great Plains by tomorrow afternoon, boosting temperature maximums/minimums into the upper 90s/mid-to-upper 70s. Dew points in the upper 60s/lower 70s will maintain outdoor conditions. /16/-- End Changed Discussion --&& .LONG TERM...-- Changed Discussion --(Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 The hottest temperatures of the year are on the way to the Four State Region through early next week. This is due to surface ridging that will continue to slowly settle across the Southern Great Plains, maintaining southerly flow through the middle of the week. Medium-range guidance is trending toward slightly more widespread chances of triple-digit temperatures on Sunday and Monday with probabilities above 20 percent (statistically significant, some areas higher than 30 percent). Heat hazards are likely to be issued as a result. After the middle of next week, this ridge axis will break down further, opening the door for more diurnal convection that`s typical for this time of the year. While remaining well above average, temperature maximums will also retreat from triple-digit territory, but not by much. Minimums in the mid-to-upper 70s will not provide much in the way of heat relief overnight.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024 VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period ending 22/18Z. Currently at all terminals, few to scattered clouds are present around 3-4kft but will improve around 22/00Z. Overnight, winds will be light and variable. Across TYR/LFK/GGG, southwest winds to increase to around 6 knots after 22/14Z. /05/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...-- Changed Discussion --SHV 78 96 78 99 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 73 96 75 98 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 70 93 72 96 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 74 97 76 100 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 72 94 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 74 94 76 97 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 74 94 75 96 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 74 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 10-- End Changed Discussion --&& .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...05