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FNAK79 PAFG 110226
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Spot Forecast for McDonald 119...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
626 PM AKDT Mon Jun 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Light rain showers passed over the fire earlier today and heavier
showers with embedded thunderstorms are currently northeast of
the fire. These will become more likely to move over the fire
tonight. Any thunderstorms will have the chance to produce locally
gusty and erratic winds. A high chance for wetting rains on the
fire tonight and Tuesday morning. Tuesday and Wednesday will see
highs fall further into the upper 60s and min RH values rise into
the 40s percent. Showers may dry out Tuesday afternoon, with
additional showers and wetting rains possible overnight Tuesday
into Wednesday though there is a chance that these showers and
storms remain east of the fire.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Areas of smoke and fog
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Numerous rain showers through the
                    night.
CWR.................65 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....N/A

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Areas of smoke in the
                    morning. Numerous rain showers in the morning,
                    then isolated rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................55 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph becoming west 7 to 10
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Inversion burnoff...N/A

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers turning numerous in the evening, then
                    scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................38 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 7 to 10 mph turning west at 10 to 15
                    mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....N/A

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BIANCO
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415850.3/AFG
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0