452
FNAK79 PAFG 301330
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Gold King Creek 411276...Northern forestry dispatch center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
530 AM AKDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Today will potentially be an active weather day with afternoon
isolated thunderstorms and more numerous showers after 3 PM.
Southeast winds will move storms from the AK Range and some
storms will go into the overnight. Moderate chance for wetting rains
into Monday with more showers and isolated thunderstorms Monday
afternoon. South winds increase late this afternoon and continue
into Monday.

Major pattern change coming Thursday with chances for widespread
rainfall and much cooler temps, but also increasing southwest
winds.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................25 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 4800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 2600 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Inversion burnoff...830 AM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Numerous rain showers in the
                    evening. Isolated thunderstorms through the
                    night. Scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 PM.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4800 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 14 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
West winds around 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Areas of smoke. Numerous showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in
the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...AHSENMACHER
Requested by...Matthew Velderrain
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416909.2/AFG
.DELDT 06/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0