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FNAK79 PAFG 200302
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Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
702 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A thermal low pressure trough over the fire will move
south of the fire on Thursday, then remain south of the fire
Friday into the weekend. Thursday will be cooler and more humid
than today was. Then, there will be a warming and drying trend
from Friday into the weekend.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue into this evening.
Small hail and gusty winds may accompany these thunderstorms this
afternoon/evening. Thursday will see some isolated thunderstorms
through the day. Friday will have just isolated afternoon
thunderstorms.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated rain
                    showers through the night. Isolated
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the north
                    around 5 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......West 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around Midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Isolated rain
                    showers through the day. Isolated thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 9 AM.


.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated rain
                    showers through the night. Isolated
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 14 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around Midnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 16 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Northeast winds around 8 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs around 80. Northeast winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...CHAMBERS
Requested by...Emmaly Gavin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416243.6/AFG
.DELDT 06/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0