545
FNAK79 PAFG 271407
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 238 East Twin...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
607 AM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on June 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot once again today with a min RH around 33% expected and
southwest winds around 5 to 7 mph. Scattered thunderstorms are
likely at the fire this afternoon and overnight. These storms may
come with hail, heavy rain, frequent lightning and erratic wind
gusts to 50 mph. These will lessen in coverage towards tomorrow
morning, then isolated wet thunderstorms will be possible again
tomorrow afternoon. Temperatures will be on a down trend this
weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph in the morning
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph early this morning
                    become west at 5 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 4 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Scattered thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Scattered rain showers through the
                    night. Isolated thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................46 percent.
LAL.................4.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 6 mph overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds at 5 mph become southwest winds
                    at 8 to 14 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....11 PM AKDT.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Scattered rain showers through
                    the day. Isolated thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds at 8 to 14 mph increase to
                    14 to 19 mph around 10 AM then weaken to
                    4 to 8 mph around 2 PM.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 4600 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 80. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds
around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BIANCO
Requested by...Risa Frazier
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416586.5/AFG
.DELDT 06/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0