968
FNUS53 KAPX 260816
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...A few showers/storms possible east of I-75 today...

.DISCUSSION...Rain-free weather is expected through this morning before chances
for a few showers and storms return this afternoon, mainly for areas
east of I-75. Northwest winds of 5-10 mph will gust to 15-20 mph at
times through this afternoon, with north or northeast winds
anticipated close to the Lake Huron shoreline. Highs in the 70s are
in store for most of northern lower Michigan today. RH concerns are
not anticipated through the end of the week.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-262015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (456).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 6 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (64).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (725).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-262015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except 15 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 6 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (379).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 8 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (101).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (852).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-262015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 9 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (457).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 4 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (537).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-262015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (583).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 13 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (50).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (615).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-262015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
416 AM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....76-81.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (746).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (72).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (857).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

DJC