755
FNUS53 KAPX 261836
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
236 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

...Quiet and Cool Tonight, Warmer with Rain/Storms Late Friday...

.DISCUSSION...
A few rogue showers/storms possible through the rest of the afternoon
today...esp along the Lake Huron lake breeze. Quiet and cool tonight,
with lows in the 40s. Quiet Thursday with light winds and lake breezes
expected again. Afternoon RHs fall into the 35-45 percent range. A bit
warmer Friday with highs in the 70s, warmest in the usual downslope
areas near Saginaw Bay. Winds Friday out of the south to southeast
gusting 10-20mph...with downslope focus shifting to the 131 corridor.
Increasing clouds and rain chances Friday afternoon starting first near
Lake Michigan. Expect rain and embedded thunder to overspread the area
by Friday evening/overnight, with additional storms possible Saturday
ahead of a cold front.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-270830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
236 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (694).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except 11 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (700).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
236 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (67).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (896).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 2 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (641).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-270830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
236 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler...except 6 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (583).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (708).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-270830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
236 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (677).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 10 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 2 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (767).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
236 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (54).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (910).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (844).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

FEF