577
FNUS53 KAPX 250633
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
233 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...Showers and isolated thunderstorms ending today...

.Discussion...
Low pressure will gradually exit Michigan today... slowly bringing
and end to chances of showers and possibly a few isolated
thunderstorms. No precipitation is expected tonight through Friday
as high pressure builds into the Western Great Lakes. High
temperatures this afternoon will warm back into the upper 60s to
lower 70s...with minimum relative humidities only dropping into the
50 to 60 percent range.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-252015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
233 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1200. Chance of rain showers until 1200,
                    then slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 18 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (567).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (341).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-252015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
233 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Rain showers likely until 1200. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms. Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (424).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (414).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-252015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
233 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Chance of rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier...except 14 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (465).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (313).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-252015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
233 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Chance of rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (517).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (335).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-252015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
233 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Rain showers likely until 1200. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms. Chance of rain showers
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (515).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (422).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MLR