676
FNUS53 KAPX 222001
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
401 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

...Rain showers continue into Monday...

Ongoing rain showers across northern Michigan will continue this
evening, tapering off late tonight/Monday morning. Rain-free
conditions are then expected across the area on Monday until the
next chances for showers return on Tuesday. Cooler temperatures are
in store for the area as highs in the mid to upper 60s are
anticipated through the beginning of the week. North-northeast winds
between 5-10 mph will be in place Monday with gusts to around 15 mph
at times. RH concerns are not anticipated over the next several
days.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-231100-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
401 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (57).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.18 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (384).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (254).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-231100-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
401 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.13 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (419).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (278).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.20 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-231100-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
401 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler...except 12 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (71).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.15 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (383).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 56-61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (250).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-231100-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
401 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (66).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.20 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (378).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (236).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-231100-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
401 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.21 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (408).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......30 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (249).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.20 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB