617
FNUS53 KAPX 231857
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
257 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

...Light rain chances return Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...Light rain chances will return to parts of northern Michigan Tuesday
into Wednesday morning. Rainfall totals are expected to remain below
0.25" for most areas, with many potentially only seeing a few
hundredths of an inch measured. Looking ahead, another extended
period of rain-free weather is expected from Wednesday afternoon
into at least the first half of this weekend. Otherwise, highs in
the mid to upper 60s are in store Tuesday before warming into the
70s through the end of the work week. Mainly light east-northeast
winds between 5-10 mph will be in place Tuesday with gusts around 15
mph at times. RH concerns are not anticipated through the middle of
the week.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-240815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
257 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of rain showers until 1200,
                    then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter...except 33 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (192).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.11 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (509).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-240815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
257 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400. Slight chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 HR Trend......42 percent wetter...except 30 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (176).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.15 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.12 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......30 percent drier...except 22 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (532).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-240815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
257 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (33).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........65-70 percent.
   24 HR Trend......39 percent wetter...except 28 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (196).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.11 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent drier...except 21 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (423).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-240815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
257 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......37 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (173).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.14 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier...except 13 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (446).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-240815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
257 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400. Slight chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
                    Chance of rain showers. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (151).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.17 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......29 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (512).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJC