Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
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053 FXUS61 KBGM 150719 AFDBGM Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 319 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure builds into the region with summer-like weather this weekend. Next week will be hot and humid, with potentially recording-breaking high temperatures in the mid-week.&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... 315 AM Update... High pressure begins to build into the area, where Saturday will be the start of a warming trend. Temperatures over the weekend will be in the high-60s to low-70s Saturday, and increase to the mid- to high-70s Sunday, with some valley locations potentially hitting 80 degrees. It`ll still be a comfortable humidity with northerly winds providing dry air through the weekend. No precipitation is expected through the weekend, with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... 210 PM Update: High pressure will keep conditions dry and mostly sunny on Sunday. With the building ridge still located west of the region, one last day with temperatures near-normal is expected before the heat builds in for the remainder of the week. Highs are expected to be in the lower 70s to near 80. Then mostly clear skies are expected Sunday night with lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s. These will be the coolest lows our region will have for the remainder of the week. A strengthening ridge moves overhead on Monday, which will bring much warmer temperatures. Widespread highs in the 80s are expected, with lower 90s in the valleys. Dew points will be on the rise too (into the 60s). Otherwise, mainly dry conditions are expected, although cannot rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm across the Finger Lakes Region in the afternoon. Then mostly clear skies with lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s is expected Sunday night. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... 210 PM Update: In terms of precipitation, the long term period will be fairly quiet. A stray afternoon shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out each day due to daytime heating, but with the ridge dominating, any organized shower or thunderstorm activity is very unlikely. By the end of the week (Friday), a shortwave riding along the edge of the ridge may bring some more organized shower and thunderstorm activity, although even this is far from a certainty. The main story for the long term period will be the prolonged heat. Widespread highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s (and even some upper 90s) is expected each day Tuesday through Friday. Dew points will also be quite high; mainly in the upper 60s to lower 70s. This will result in heat indices well into the 90s, and likely exceeding 100 degrees in the valleys. Heat headlines will likely be needed as we get closer. && .AVIATION /07Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... VFR for most of the sites through the night. With dry air expected to advect into central NY, valley fog is not anticipated at ELM. However, with recent heavy downpours, AVP will see some patchy fog through the night. Variable/light winds overnight will become NNW to N around 10 knots on Saturday. Outlook... Saturday afternoon through Monday morning...mainly VFR. Monday afternoon through Wednesday...Restrictions possible in showers and thunderstorms. && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...KL NEAR TERM...KL SHORT TERM...BJG LONG TERM...BJG AVIATION...KL