Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
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900 FXUS64 KBMX 190857 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 357 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 357 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024 Will continue to advertise dry and seasonably warm conditions across central Alabama in the short term. Upper level ridge will remain in place along the east coast through at least Thursday. Easterly low level flow will actually help to keep Gulf moisture cut off, with rain free conditions. There`s quite a bit of cirrus along the western periphery of the ridge, which will filter the sun a bit at times. That and a steady east wind during the day will help to keep the heat from becoming too oppressive. /61/ && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 357 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024 The center of a 596 dam ridge at 500 mb will be centered over Tennessee on Friday on its southwestward course from the Mid- Atlantic states. The proximity of the ridge and high heights along with a weakening of cooler easterly flow, should correspond with a nudge upward in temperatures. Much of the area should see mid 90s on Friday and Saturday with a couple of spots possibly reaching the upper 90s. On Sunday the ridge should retreat westward and amplify, resulting in the development of a trough over the eastern CONUS. As this occurs, westerly low-level flow will promote similar temperatures despite height falls. As enhanced moisture arrives with southeasterly flow on Saturday and remains in place on Sunday, isolated or scattered showers and storms will return for areas mainly along and south of Interstate 20. Rain chances could continue to increase on Monday and Tuesday as height falls continue across the region. 87/Grantham && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024 VFR conditions to continue through next 24 hour forecast period. Ceilings forecast to remain well above FL120, with a FEW/SCT cumulus around 5000 ft developing around 14Z-15Z. Other than that, basically a wind forecast, with easterly winds picking up and becoming a bit gusty during the day, and going back to light after dark. /61/ && .FIRE WEATHER... Rain-free conditions will persist through Friday as easterly winds bring drier air to the region. Afternoon RH values should range from 35 to 45 percent range each day through Friday. Easterly 20 ft winds of 7 to 12 mph are expected today, and a gradual decrease in speeds should follow into Thursday and Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 89 67 92 66 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 89 68 92 67 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 90 70 93 70 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 90 71 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 91 70 93 69 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 88 69 90 69 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 90 70 92 70 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 90 68 92 68 / 0 0 10 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM.../61/ LONG TERM....87/Grantham AVIATION.../61/