Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
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355 FXUS64 KBMX 191736 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1236 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 357 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024 Will continue to advertise dry and seasonably warm conditions across central Alabama in the short term. Upper level ridge will remain in place along the east coast through at least Thursday. Easterly low level flow will actually help to keep Gulf moisture cut off, with rain free conditions. There`s quite a bit of cirrus along the western periphery of the ridge, which will filter the sun a bit at times. That and a steady east wind during the day will help to keep the heat from becoming too oppressive. /61/ && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 357 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024 The center of a 596 dam ridge at 500 mb will be centered over Tennessee on Friday on its southwestward course from the Mid- Atlantic states. The proximity of the ridge and high heights along with a weakening of cooler easterly flow, should correspond with a nudge upward in temperatures. Much of the area should see mid 90s on Friday and Saturday with a couple of spots possibly reaching the upper 90s. On Sunday the ridge should retreat westward and amplify, resulting in the development of a trough over the eastern CONUS. As this occurs, westerly low-level flow will promote similar temperatures despite height falls. As enhanced moisture arrives with southeasterly flow on Saturday and remains in place on Sunday, isolated or scattered showers and storms will return for areas mainly along and south of Interstate 20. Rain chances could continue to increase on Monday and Tuesday as height falls continue across the region. 87/Grantham && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1236 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through this cycle. Scattered to broken clouds are expected this afternoon with thicker clouds south in the mid to upper levels. Expect scattered clouds overnight followed by few to scattered clouds tomorrow with more clouds to the southwest. There could be a passing shower or storm this afternoon southwest but this potential is away from any terminal. 05 && .FIRE WEATHER... Rain-free conditions will persist through Friday as easterly winds bring drier air to the region. Afternoon RH values should range from 35 to 45 percent range each day through Friday. Easterly 20 ft winds of 7 to 12 mph are expected today, and a gradual decrease in speeds should follow into Thursday and Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 68 93 66 93 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 69 92 67 93 / 0 0 0 10 Birmingham 72 94 70 94 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 72 94 70 95 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 71 93 69 94 / 0 0 0 10 Auburn 69 91 69 91 / 0 0 0 10 Montgomery 70 93 70 94 / 0 10 0 10 Troy 69 92 68 93 / 0 10 0 20 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...02 LONG TERM....87 AVIATION...05