Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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Spot Forecast for Belchertown Fair Day 1...Belchertown Fire Department
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
406 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on September 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Brief showers remain possible through this evening. Dry weather
expected overnight tonight and tomorrow with any substantial rain
remaining east of the Belchertown area.

.OUTLOOK...Sunday Night through Thursday...

High pressure provides generally dry weather into mid week.
Another storm system is expected to bring unsettled weather for
later Wednesday into Thursday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of rain......37 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Max apparent temp...64.
Max apparent temp...64.
Max apparent temp...64.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 9 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 10 mph.
100 FT WIND.........
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......5.0.
Visibility..........10.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (32300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................28 to 32.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  86
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10
Chc of rain (%).30  40
Temp............64  63
RH..............70  72
Heat index (F)..64  63
Wind chill (F)..64  63
Aparnt tmp (F)..64  63
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  9
20 FT wind gust.16  16
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.10  9
Surface wnd gst.16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE
Transp wind spd.15  14
100 ft wind.....
LVORI...........3   3
ADI.............32  28
Vrate kt-ft/1K..32  26
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...5.0 5.0
Visibility (sm).10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of rain......32 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Max apparent temp...62.
Max apparent temp...62.
Max apparent temp...62.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
100 FT WIND.........
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......5.0 increasing to 6.0 early in the evening,
                    then decreasing to 4.0 early decreasing to 3.0
                    late in the evening increasing to 4.5
                    increasing to 6.0 increasing to 7.0 increasing
                    to 9.0 early in the morning increasing to 10
                    decreasing to 9.0 early in the morning.
Visibility..........10.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................27 decreasing to 6 to 10.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87  87  88  87  86  85  79  72  66  70  74  78
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   10  10
Chc of rain (%).30  30  20  20  20  20  20  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............62  59  57  56  55  55  54  54  53  53  53  53
RH..............75  83  90  90  90  86  90  86  89  89  86  86
Heat index (F)..62  59  57  56  55  55  54  54  53  53  53  53
Wind chill (F)..62  59  57  56  55  55  54  54  53  53  53  53
Aparnt tmp (F)..62  59  57  56  55  55  54  54  53  53  53  53
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NE  N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  14  14  14  14  13  12  13  13  13  12  10
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NE  N
Surface wnd spd.8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.15  14  14  14  14  13  12  13  13  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  12  12  10  10  10  9   10  9   10  10  10
100 ft wind.....
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
ADI.............27  10  8   7   7   7   6   7   6   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..24  7   9   6   5   6   5   7   6   7   7   7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...5.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 4.5 6.0 6.0 7.0 9.0 10  9.0
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of rain......0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Max apparent temp...67.
Max apparent temp...67.
Max apparent temp...67.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
100 FT WIND.........
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......7.0 increasing to 11 early, then decreasing to
                    7.0 late in the morning decreasing to 6.0
                    decreasing to 5.0 decreasing to 4.0 in the
                    afternoon increasing to 7.0.
Visibility..........10.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (59500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 to 18 increasing to 61.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  70  66  64  63  61  62  62  63  58  53  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of rain (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  52  55  58  61  63  65  66  67  67  66  65
RH..............86  93  83  77  72  70  65  61  59  59  61  63
Heat index (F)..53  52  55  58  61  63  65  66  67  67  66  65
Wind chill (F)..53  52  55  58  61  63  65  66  67  67  66  65
Aparnt tmp (F)..53  52  55  58  61  63  65  66  67  67  66  65
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  13  14  15  16  16  16  16  16  16
Surface wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.6   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   10  9   9
Surface wnd gst.10  10  12  13  14  15  16  16  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.4 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.2
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE
Transp wind spd.10  10  13  15  16  16  17  16  17  18  18  18
100 ft wind.....
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............12  12  18  28  34  40  45  42  46  49  48  61
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   8   13  25  33  45  53  50  57  60  56  51
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
Ceiling (kft)...7.0 7.0 11  7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 7.0
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...KS
Requested by...Adam M. Burdick
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2422781.3/BOX
.DELDT 09/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aburdick@belchertown.org