Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
389 FXUS64 KCRP 200933 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 433 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (Today) Issued at 414 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Tropical Storm Alberto is nearing landfall along the Mexico coast early this morning. All tropical storm watches have been cancelled for the Texas coast as wind speeds have decreased and will continue to decrease. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to impact the southern Coastal Bend and west across South Texas this morning with a few brief tropical tornadoes still possible. Additional rainfall for most of the area will be an inch or less, though a few bands of heavier convection are still noted and could produce another inch or two of rain. Coastal flooding will persist along the coast today into tomorrow for gulf facing areas, and will likely persist longer along the bays as water will take some time to get back to normal. Expect inundation of up to 3 feet to continue in these areas. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through next Wednesday) Issued at 414 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Deep moisture will persist through the end of the week and into the weekend across the area and scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast. NHC is also monitoring another area (yes, really) of potential tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico/Bay of Campeche There is a 50 percent chance of development over the next 7 days for this area as conditions become more conducive to gradual development into next week. Outside of this potential development, it would appear things should get a bit drier early next week as mid level ridging is expected to sink southward. Temperatures gradually warm into next week and will be back to normal by early to mid-week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1235 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Numerous showers and occasional storms will continue across South Texas terminals mainly south and west of I-37 through the morning hours as T.S. Alberto approaches the coast of Mexico well to our south. Will carry prevailing MVFR conditions with tempo groups for strong wind gusts and IFR conditions in heavy rain through the morning. Expect showers with occasional thunder to persist through Thursday afternoon with MVFR ceilings with rain gradually tapering off by Thursday evening. Winds will gradually turn from more northerly direction to easterly through the period. && .MARINE... Issued at 414 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Tropical Storm warnings have been cancelled for the Texas coastal waters. Small craft advisories are no in effect. Winds will remain elevated through late tonight with very rough seas persisting. The seas will be slow to subside, and may require the small craft advisory to be extended. Scattered showers will remain in the forecast through the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 89 79 90 78 / 80 60 60 30 Victoria 88 75 89 73 / 60 40 60 10 Laredo 89 76 91 75 / 80 60 70 30 Alice 88 75 91 74 / 80 60 60 20 Rockport 91 81 92 81 / 80 70 60 30 Cotulla 88 77 93 76 / 70 50 60 10 Kingsville 89 77 90 76 / 80 60 70 30 Navy Corpus 90 83 89 82 / 80 70 70 50 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Flood Watch until noon CDT today for TXZ229>231-239>243-342-343- 442-443. Coastal Flood Warning until 7 PM CDT Friday for TXZ245-342>345- 347-442-443-447. Wind Advisory until noon CDT today for TXZ245-342>347-442-443- 447. High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for TXZ345-442- 443-447. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for GMZ231-232-236- 237. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ250-255-270- 275. && $$ SHORT TERM...PH/83 LONG TERM....PH/83 AVIATION...JM