Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
394 FNUS28 KWNS 262044 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Valid 281200Z - 041200Z The potential for critical fire weather conditions should remain limited through the extended period. Regional fire concerns remain possible over the weekend across parts of the Great Basin. Long-range ensemble guidance continues to show an upper-level shortwave trough amplifying over the Pacific Northwest during the D4/Sat to D5/Sun time frame. As this occurs, surface pressure falls across NV should support dry, breezy southerly winds across southern NV into western UT. The potential for critical fire weather conditions remains low for D4/Sat, but elevated conditions may develop by late afternoon. Fire weather potential may be greatest on D5/Sun afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front across the Great Basin. Deterministic and ensemble solutions continue to show a reasonable signal for critical fire weather conditions from eastern NV into northwest UT and southwest WY. However, it is unclear whether or not fuels will sufficiently dry by this weekend in the wake of widespread wetting rainfall over the next 12 hours. This concern precludes higher risk probabilities at this time, but trends will continue to be monitored. ..Moore.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$