041
FXUS63 KDDC 211000
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
500 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Breezy and warm today

- Hot and dry over the weekend

- Even hotter through the beginning of the next business week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

A warm and breezy forecast is expected today. The lee trough across
eastern Colorado will deepen through the day. The net result is breezy
SSE to SSW winds in the 22 to 33 mph range. Highs today should peak
in the upper 80s to around 90F. Lower 90s cannot be ruled out across
the lower terrain of Barber county. No storms are expected today
as there will be no major UL waves passing across the greater region.
The elevated southerly winds will continue Saturday morning as a
LLJ develops through the overnight period. This supports quite warm
lows with values in the lower to mid 70s. The warmest lows are expected
across the eastern zones. For Saturday, a 500 hPa ridge starts to
build over the region. This supports the forecast of even hotter
highs with values in the 90s. EPS has 90% to 100% probabilities of
highs > 90F Saturday. Lows Sunday morning will be near normal with
values in the upper 60s to lower 70s. This ridge will continue Sunday
as well, with a continued hot forecast. The upcoming business week
looks hot with a ridge building over the greater region. 500 hPa
heights look to peak into the 594 dm to 596 dm range. Highs in the
lower 100s looks likely for southwest Kansas. Will have to watch
out across the far eastern zones possibly Monday and likely Tuesday
as the combination of the heat and humidity could require heat headlines
across south central Kansas these days.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 500 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

VFR is expected through TAF pd. The lee trough will diurnally deepen
with resultant SSE to SSW winds blowing 20-30 kt with gusts over 30
kt during the day

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden