527
FXUS63 KDDC 200700
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
200 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near normal highs and primarily dry today

- The dry and near normal temperatures continue Friday

- Getting hot over the weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Some light showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder will continue early
this morning. Otherwise, expect dry weather for much of the FA today.
The general gist is that 500 hPa ridge of high pressure will prevail
over the region region today and continuing through Friday. Highs
today will be close to near normal with values in the mid to upper
80s, perhaps being held slightly down from the recent heavy rainfall.
At the surface, the lee trough across eastern Colorado will diurnally
deepen. The net result is SE/S to winds blowing in the 18 to 28 mph
range with gusts over 30 mph likely. The winds will diurnally weaken
as we get close to dusk and be light SE/S through the overnight hours.
Minimums will be close to normal with values in the 60s. The weather
pattern really doesnt change Friday with high pressure still in
control across the greater region. Pretty much a carbon copy of highs
Friday with values in the mid to upper 80s with a few 90s along the
Oklahoma border. Lows heading into Saturday morning will be very
mild with values around 70F. The 500 hPa ridge starts to move over
the region Saturday. This supports hotter highs with values in the
90s. The EPS has 90% to 100% probabilities of highs > 90F Saturday.
The hot weather looks to continue Sunday as we close out the weekend.
Storm chances look unlikely with only slight pops during this period.
The mid level ridge begins to amplify Monday through Thursday. This
supports the forecast of hot highs with values in the upper 90s to
lower 100s. Storm chances look doubtful overall with only a smattering
during the long term period with probabilities of 15% to 30%.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1111 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Some residual MVFR cigs from the recent rains will continue through
the overnight pd. VFR is expected for the majority of tomorrow. The
lee trof will deepen tomorrow with SE to S winds 15-25 kt with gusts
around 30 kt through the daylight hours.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden