720
FNUS73 KDLH 241516
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Gunflint Flood Response...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1016 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on June 24.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Area radars show predominately showers over northwestern
Minnesota this morning are gradually weakening as they move east
into into parts of northern Minnesota around midday into mid
afternoon, with little in the way of additional accumulations
(0.10" or less). A warm and moist airmass will develop today and
additional thunderstorms are possible this evening into early
tonight as a warm and cold front move through the region. There is
potential for isolated severe thunderstorms this evening into
tonight but their development is not certain (severe potential of
less than 20% for the response location). If they do develop,
hazards will be hail to 1-2 inches in diameter and damaging winds
up to 60 mph. If storms do occur, additional rainfall amounts of
0.25-0.5 inches are not out of the question.

Some additional showers will occur Tuesday, with most areas
precipitation free on Wednesday. A wind shift will occur Monday
night behind the cold front with winds stronger on Tuesday out of
the west or northwest.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............69  69  71  72  72  73  71
RH..............59  58  57  60  59  60  62
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  16  18  19  19  19  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms through the night.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1 until 2000, then 2 until 2100, then 3 until
                    0100, then 4 until 0400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph shifting to the west around 6 mph after
                    3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Pcpn amount.........0.28 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....       S CHC  LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     60     50     50     30
LAL.............1      2      3      3      4      1
Temp............70     66     62     61     61     60
RH..............71     84     84     84     87     93
20 ft wind......S 8    S 7    S 6    SW 6   SW 5   W 5
20 ft wind gust.20     18     15     14     14     14

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    increasing to 32 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      10     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............58     63     70     73     74     73
RH..............96     83     62     52     47     50
20 ft wind......W 5    W 7    W 9    W 11   W 12   W 12
20 ft wind gust.18     21     23     27     29     28

$$
Forecaster...Cory
Requested by...Tod Flowers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416596.0/DLH
.DELDT 06/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tod.flowers@usda.gov