Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
149
FNUS73 KDLH 040000
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...St. Louis County EM
National Weather Service Duluth MN
700 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CDT on June 03.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Search site and General Ely Forecast -
A few isolated showers and perhaps a thunderstorm (10% chance) are
possible in the southern vicinity of KELO from around 730 PM to 11
PM, but not expected near the SAR location. Light westerly winds
this evening back to southeasterly overnight under increasing high
clouds. Look for lows tonight to be in the mid-50s.
Highs will be in the upper 70s to
around 80 degrees and southeast winds increase during the daytime
to 10 to 13 mph with gusts around 20-25 mph during the afternoon. Showers
and thunderstorms develop along a cold front and enter the area
from the west on Tuesday afternoon. A few of the storms could be
strong to marginally severe between about 5-8 PM and produce wind
gusts up to 50-60 mph and hail up to 0.75 to 1 inch in diameter.
Showers and some embedded non-severe thunderstorms linger into
Tuesday evening. Rainfall amounts of upwards of 0.6-1 inches are
possible with the showers and storms, heaviest during the late
afternoon into early evening.
Ely Visibility and Ceilings -
IFR to potentially LIFR ceilings will be possible later tonight
through about 14Z on Tuesday along with some areas of fog down to
1-3 mile visibilities before visibilities improve by mid morning.
Outlook for Tuesday, ceilings improving to VFR by late morning
before MVFR ceilings/visibilities develop again late
afternoon/evening as the showers and storms move through.
To obtain an official pre-flight weather briefing call
1-800-992-7433
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Ceiling (kft).......7.7 increasing to 10 early in the evening, then
increasing to 13 late in the evening increasing
to 16 late in the evening increasing to 18
decreasing to 15 overnight decreasing to 9.5
decreasing to 4.3 after 3 am decreasing to 3.1.
Visibility (sm).....8 decreasing to 2.75.
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC
Weather cov..... PTY
Weather type.... FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 10
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Temp............73 70 66 63 61 59 58 57 56 56 57
RH..............62 71 78 87 93 96 100 100 100 100 100
Surface wnd dir.W W SW S S S S S SE SE SE
Surface wnd spd.3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4
Surface wnd gst.9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8
Ceiling (kft)...7.7 10 13 16 17 18 20 15 9.5 4.3 3.1
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 5 2.8
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning. Rain showers likely and chance
of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
the afternoon.
Ceiling (kft).......1.9 decreasing to 0.7 early in the morning,
then increasing to 0.9 early in the morning
increasing to 1.1 late in the morning
increasing to 2.5 increasing to 3.6 early in
the afternoon increasing to 4.8 increasing to
6.1 late in the afternoon decreasing to 5.3.
Visibility (sm).....1.75 increasing to 5 early in the morning, then
increasing to 7 early in the morning increasing
to 10 in the late morning and afternoon
decreasing to 8.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....PATCHY S CHC CHANCE
Weather type....FOG NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 20 50
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 10 20 40
Temp............57 64 70 75 78 78
RH..............100 84 71 62 58 58
Surface wind....SE 4 SE 7 SE 8 SE 10 SE 11 SE 11
Surface wnd gst.9 13 17 20 22 22
Ceiling (kft)...1.9 0.9 1.3 3.6 5.4 6.7
Visibility (sm).1.8 7 10 10 10 10
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers in
the evening. Chance of thunderstorms through
the night. Chance of rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
around 21 mph shifting to the around 6 mph
overnight.
Ceiling (kft).......4.0 decreasing to 2.2 early in the evening,
then decreasing to 1.3 late in the evening
increasing to 2.2 late in the evening
increasing to 3.0 increasing to 7.6 overnight
increasing to 11 increasing to 15 after 3 am.
Visibility (sm).....6 increasing to 8 overnight.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).80 80 40 10
Chc of thdr (%).40 50 20 10
Temp............74 65 60 54
RH..............66 84 93 96
Surface wind....S 10G21 S 6G15 SW 4G13 SW 6G12
Ceiling (kft)...4.0 1.7 3.0 11
Visibility (sm).8 6 7 9
$$
Forecaster...Cory
Requested by...Alex Rice
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414880.13/DLH
.DELDT 06/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 7310@slcrs.org,7296@slcrs.org,JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov,BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov,Emergency@slcrs.org,7101@slcrs.org,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us,7337@slcrs.org,7111@slcrs.org