384
FNUS53 KDTX 220713
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
313 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...Hot weather persists over most of Southeast Michigan
today with minimum RHs in the 40 to 60 percent range. Showers and
storms north of I-69 with areas to the south likely staying dry. A
line of additional showers and storms moves through this
evening/tonight into early Sunday morning as a cold front passes
through.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-222115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
313 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Scattered showers
                    after 8 am. Scattered thunderstorms after 11 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming southwest.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5120-5620 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (948).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous showers
                    until 2 am. Scattered thunderstorms. Showers
                    after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3880-4380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (964).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-222115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
313 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers after 8 am until 2 pm. Scattered
                    thunderstorms after 11 am. Numerous showers
                    after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....82-88.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........51-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to
                    15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4430-4930 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (838).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous showers
                    until 2 am. Scattered thunderstorms. Showers
                    after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming southwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 30 to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (814).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-222115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
313 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....90-94.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 15 to
                    20 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6930-7430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest 15
                    to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1490).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    showers until 2 am. Scattered thunderstorms.
                    Numerous showers after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3740-4240 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (902).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s.

$$

SF