609
FNUS53 KDTX 210709
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid weather persists over most of Southeast
Michigan today and Saturday with minimum RHs in the 50 to 60 percent
range. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms today, but mainly dry
during the day on Saturday before showers and thunderstorms arrive
by Saturday night.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 pm, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming west in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3960-4460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (310).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....86-90.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5280-5780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1207).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-212115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 8 am until
                    1400, then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    northeast early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3990-4490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    northeast early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (367).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....86-92.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5250-5750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1191).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 am, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....84-90.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4230-4730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming northwest until
                    late afternoon, then becoming west early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (372).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....90-96.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6230-6730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1301).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 70. Highs around 80. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

SF