381
ACUS03 KWNS 200626
SWODY3
SPC AC 200625

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0125 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHWEST
TEXAS INTO MISSOURI...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Sunday from northwest
Texas to central Missouri.

...Southern Plains to Missouri...

An upper trough over the central/southern Rockies Sunday morning
will track east over the central/southern Plains. Around 40-50 kt
southwesterly flow will overspread northwest TX into KS/OK and MO
ahead of this feature. At the surface, A cold front will develop
southeast across the Mid-MS Valley to southern Plains. Convection
may be ongoing across portions of the central/southern Plains to the
Mid-MS Valley Sunday morning, resulting in some uncertainty in
airmass destabilization through peak heating. Nevertheless, a
seasonally moist airmass and favorable vertical shear will support
organized thunderstorm clusters during the afternoon/evening ahead
of the advancing cold front. Some risk for damaging gusts will
accompany this activity from northwest TX into central MO.

..Leitman.. 09/20/2024

$$